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Human Caused Global Warming

How do we know the increase in CO2 is human caused? There is an isotopic signature, like a fingerprint. CO2 that comes from natural sources has a low carbon-14 ratio. There are 385ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere. Only around 280ppm has low carbon-14. Therefore the remainder is a product of another source. The only other source that can account for the remainder is human industrial emissions.

How do we know it's human caused?

When protons from GCRs (Galactic Cosmic Rays) collide with the nitrogen-14 (seven protons plus seven neutrons in the nucleus) in the air, carbon-14 is created (in addition to other isotopes such as beryllium-10) through a nuclear reaction:

14N + p → 14C + n

This means that carbon with a low isotope carbon-14 ratio must come from deep in the ground, out of reach of cosmic rays.

Furthermore, the ratio of O2 to N2 has diminished. This is expected from the increased combustion of fossil fuels, in which O2 combines with C to form CO2. The oceans have also become more acidic, leading to an increase in CO2 levels in both the atmosphere and the oceans.

Carbon Output as measured by the EPA:

Co2 Emissions v. Economy/Productivity

Summary

Since carbon-14 is created during exposure in the atmosphere, low isotope carbon-14 has not been subject to atmospheric exposure and therefore must have come from underground. In other words, we dug it up, burned it, and now low isotope carbon-14 is in the atmosphere. That is how the two origins of carbon can be clearly identified, by the isotopic signature.

Said another way, low isotope carbon-14 is from fossil fuels, while the rest of the carbon has been in the natural cycle for longer periods. That carbon is stored and released through natural processes such as the normal seasonal carbon breathing that occurs in plant life.

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